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Community Outreach. So we try to be aware of everything around us—like John Templeton says in his book about being open to new ideas and new experiences.
Try not to let your emotions affect your judgment. Fear and greed are probably the worst emotions to have in connection with the purchase and sale of stocks.
Quantitative investing is a good way to control emotion. This is what Graham suggested and practiced.
Graham typically was not interested in what the business did. On the topic of discipline and controlling your emotions, Schloss told a great story about when Warren Buffett was playing golf with some buddies:.
Be careful of leverage. It can go against you. Schloss acknowledges that sometimes he has gotten too greedy by buying highly leveraged stocks because they seemed really cheap.
Companies with high leverage can occasionally become especially cheap compared to book value. But often the risk of bankruptcy is too high.
If the probability of success is high enough and if the upside is great enough, it may not be a difficult decision. Sometimes you can get good ideas from other investors you know or respect.
Even Buffett did this. Have at least stocks in your portfolio. A few investors can do better by being more concentrated.
But most investors will do better over time by using a quantitative, diversified approach. If we like a stock we put more money in it.
Positions we are less sure about we put less in… We then buy the stock on the way down and try to sell it on the way up. Even though Schloss was quite diversified, he still took larger positions in the stocks he liked best and smaller positions in the stocks about which he was less sure.
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger call this a circle of competence. Even if a value investor is far from being the smartest, there are hundreds of microcap companies that are easy to understand with enough work.
The main trouble in investing is overconfidence: having more confidence than is warranted by the evidence. Overconfidence is arguably the most widespread cognitive bias suffered by humans, as Nobel Laureate Daniel Kahneman details in Thinking, Fast and Slow.
By humbly defining your circle of competence, you can limit the impact of overconfidence. Part of this humility comes from making mistakes.
The best choice for most investors is either an index fund or a quantitative value fund. An equal weighted group of micro caps generally far outperforms an equal weighted or cap-weighted group of larger stocks over time.
This outperformance increases significantly by focusing on cheap micro caps. Performance can be further boosted by isolating cheap microcap companies that show improving fundamentals.
We rank microcap stocks based on these and similar criteria. There are roughly positions in the portfolio. The size of each position is determined by its rank.
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